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Does NYC Crime Rate Warrant National Guard In Subways?

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is sending 750 members of the National Guard and hundreds of state troopers into the city’s subway system after a handful of high-profile violent crimes. Although reports of major crimes have risen slightly in the past year, the overall picture is more positive, reports Vox.


Reported crime fell in New York City last year, and the rate of violent crime on the city’s subway system was roughly one per 1 million rides -- indicating a low risk. One way to assess crime is to judge overall violent crime and per capita crime rates to see how the city is performing compared with past years; that’s what Hochul and Mayor Eric Adams are pointing to when saying their subway deployments are necessary. Another good way to analyze crime would be to look at how much gun violence there is in a given city. That's where New York is, better at it than any other big U.S. city. A city of New York’s population size should have way more gun homicides per capita than it does, with a study published in Nature Cities finding that of all the big cities they studied, New York had the largest gap between what the model predicted the gun homicide rate per capita would be and what it was.

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